AJ Bell warned on 2 September 2026, reported by Money Marketing, that advisers face a surge in people wanting to make damaging decisions ahead of the Budget: withdrawing pension tax-free cash early, crystallising capital gains, or making gifts they cannot afford. The warning is aimed at financial advisers. The FCA’s Financial Lives 2024 survey found that 8.6% of UK adults had taken regulated financial advice in the previous twelve months, and 13% of the self-employed. A business owner with no financial planner asks their accountant instead.
What happened before the 2024 Budget
Sarah Coles, head of personal finance at AJ Bell, pointed to the 2024 Budget, when speculation about restrictions to pension tax-free cash contributed to savers withdrawing an additional £10 billion, according to Financial Conduct Authority data cited in the Money Marketing report. The rules on tax-free cash did not change.
Coles said: “As the weeks wear on, we can expect more of this, and there’s an increasing danger that people feel they need to take steps ‘just in case’ that they could sorely regret later.”
The Pensions Commission, whose interim report was published in May 2026, estimated that 14.6 million people are not saving enough for retirement. AJ Bell says that figure rises by a further two million if people withdraw and spend their tax-free cash. Coles also cited 2024 Department for Work and Pensions research showing that a one-off purchase was the most frequent use of tax-free cash among people taking only part of their entitlement.
AJ Bell, 2 September 2026: speculation about restrictions to pension tax-free cash contributed to savers withdrawing an additional £10 billion before the 2024 Budget, on Financial Conduct Authority data.
A worked example
This example uses a made-up client and made-up figures.
An owner-manager aged 57 has a £400,000 defined contribution pot, still runs the business, and has no immediate need for cash. He reads that tax-free cash might be capped, and asks his accountant whether to take his £100,000 now.
This example assumes he takes it and the Budget changes nothing. The £100,000 moves from a wrapper where investment returns are sheltered to one where they are taxed. In a deposit account or general investment account returning 4%, it produces £4,000 of interest a year. His income makes him a higher rate taxpayer, so his Personal Savings Allowance is £500, and £3,500 of that interest is taxed at 40%, which is £1,400 a year.
He has used £100,000 of his £268,275 lump sum allowance, and put £100,000 into his estate today. One point runs his way: taking the tax-free lump sum on its own does not trigger the money purchase annual allowance, which comes from taking taxable income flexibly, so his £60,000 annual allowance survives. Had he drawn taxable income alongside it, the money purchase annual allowance of £10,000 (GOV.UK, pension schemes rates) would have cut his ability to put business profits into a pension by £50,000 a year.
If he waits and tax-free cash is restricted on 28 October, he is worse off than if he had acted. The comparison the client needs is between a certain, permanent, immediate cost and a possible one. Setting it out on paper is accountancy work.